招金论金:美联储陷入分歧  现货金弱势彰显

时间:2013-10-10 989 字号:

行情回顾:

   现货黄金收报1305.28美元/盎司,较上一交易日1319.20美元/盎司,下跌13.73美元/盎司,跌幅1.04%

基本面:

    奥巴马周三正式提名耶伦(janet yellen)为美联储下届主席,并敦促参议院尽快确认耶伦的提名。众所周知,耶伦对美联储的货币政策一向持鸽派的立场。

  芝加哥联储主席埃文斯(charles evans)周三表示,美国目前高失业率和低通胀的形势需要实施宽松政策。

  美联储(fed)周三公布的9月会议记录显示,支持和反对美联储在9月份缩减购债国模的委员人数"相对接近"。会议记录还显示,委员仍广泛支持在年内开始缩减购债。

  全球最大的黄金etf--spdr ld trust截至1009日晨(北京时间)黄金持仓量为898.18吨,减持1.81吨。

盘面分析及建议:

昨日美联储会议纪要显示,大部分官员预期今年开始放缓qe,并在2014年年中结束qe,刺激金价下探。目前美债务上限和政府开张时点仍为市场主要热点,导致对上述利空消化时间较短。但昨晚纪要无疑提振了空头,存在持续性影响。操作上,建议近期逢反弹减持直至出尽多头仓位参考位置现货金1330-1340autd参考265.00附近,并考虑于此位置附近适度布局空头仓位。此前有布局空头仓位,参考260.00附近部分减持,其余继续持有。

支撑:1297/1300     阻力:1335/1340

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

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